Time is All Repeatedly applying an automated trading strategy to a bunch of stocks in a backtest will produce the same answer every time. It is the output of a program. A recipe, a set of trading rules, procedures, coded instructions and software routines. Since the output of a trading strategy can be expressed as a time function:
The goal here is for you to be able to glance at the Excel Regression output and immediately understand it, so we will focus our attention only on the four most important parts of the Excel regression output.
R Square tells how well the regression line approximates the real data. Ideally we would like to see this at least 0. Adjusted R Square — This is quoted most often when explaining the accuracy of the regression equation. A small Significance of F confirms the validity of the Regression output. The lower the P-Value, the higher the likelihood that that coefficient or Y-Intercept is valid.
For example, a P-Value of 0. You can quickly plot the Residuals on a scatterplot chart. Look for patterns in the scatterplot. The more random without patterns and centered around zero the residuals appear to be, the more likely it is that the Regression equation is valid.
There are many other pieces of information in the Excel regression output but the above four items will give a quick read on the validity of your Regression. If anyone has any comments or observations related to this article, feel free to submit them because your input and opinions are highly valued.Guidelines for the Preparation of Your Master’s Thesis for example, if the researcher At the same time, you should submit the PDF file of your thesis to ProQuest CSA’s UMI Dissertation Publishing.
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